Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Nov 2025

Ebbsfleet United
1-0 HT 0-0
Maidstone United
📅04/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidstone United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 36% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Maidstone United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.23
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidstone United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-0 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
25.01.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
23.11.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-3 HT 2-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
17.11.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.03.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
30.10.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Maidstone United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Maidstone United
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United edged past Maidstone United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ebbsfleet United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 52% of the ball to Maidstone United's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.83 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Maidstone United?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 34%, draw 28%, Maidstone United 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maidstone United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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