Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.48/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.25
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
17.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.08.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3-0
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town swept aside Weston-super-Mare 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hemel Hempstead Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 50% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 50%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.25 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 36%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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