Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.93/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.58
+19% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
17.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.08.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-1
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare and Hemel Hempstead Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 51% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 49%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 0.67 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 48%, draw 25%, Hemel Hempstead Town 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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