Chorley vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
Chorley 0-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town edged past Chorley 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Chorley carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Chorley had 55% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 45%, shots finished 4-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Chorley 0-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Chorley 60%, draw 20%, Alfreton Town 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.