Chorley vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
1-2
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
Chorley 2-0 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley beat Alfreton Town 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Chorley had 43% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 57%, shots finished 9-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 1.17 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Chorley 2-0 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chorley 44%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.