Inverness CT 1-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.79/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.95
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
99 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 72 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
16.08.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
11.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
21.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
28.09.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT squeezed past Stenhousemuir 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inverness CT and 0.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT 1-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 61%, draw 22%, Stenhousemuir 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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