St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AL2
0-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
1-0
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AL2
St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli and RB Leipzig couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, St. Pauli had 46% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 54%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.45 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli and 1.00 for RB Leipzig.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 23%, draw 27%, RB Leipzig 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RB Leipzig), BTTS No went the other way.