Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
7%
7.83
X/2
15%
4.97
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.63
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -10%
1.43/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.40
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
19.1 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
436 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2025 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen HAZ
16.02.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
29.09.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-4 HT 3-3 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
03.03.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
07.10.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-3 HT 1-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
02.04.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-2
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.81 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
423 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim got the better of Werder Bremen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 59% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 41%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.59 — on chances, Werder Bremen could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.33 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim?

Werder Bremen 0-2 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 32%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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