Farsley AFC 1-4 Rushall Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rushall Olympic EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.14/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.39
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rushall Olympic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.08.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 0-2 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-4
AWAY Rushall Olympic
45% Ball Possession 55%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rushall Olympic ran out comfortable winners over Farsley AFC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Farsley AFC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 45% of the ball to Rushall Olympic's 55%, shots finished 2-17.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Rushall Olympic?

Farsley AFC 1-4 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Rushall Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farsley AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 41%, draw 24%, Rushall Olympic 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farsley AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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