KA Akureyri 2-5 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.31
No
41%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.2pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.12
+14% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.89 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
25.08.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
13.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
01.10.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
20.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik cruised past KA Akureyri 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fram Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?

KA Akureyri 2-5 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 37%, draw 27%, Fram Reykjavik 36%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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