Ajman 2-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -24%
1.56/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.06
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 84%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.3 Crosses 23.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.79 xG 1.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 431
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
21.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
02.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
16.12.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
14.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-1 HT 3-1 Ajman Ajman BAELK
30.08.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman edged past Al Nasr 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Ajman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajman and 2.50 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Ajman 2-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajman 37%, draw 21%, Al Nasr 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5
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