US Tataouine 0-1 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.21/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Tataouine
1W-0D-2L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 2-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
26.05.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 3-1 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
02.03.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
POST-MATCH US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa nicked a narrow win over US Tataouine 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day EGS Gafsa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, EGS Gafsa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for US Tataouine and 1.67 for EGS Gafsa.

What was the final score of US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa?

US Tataouine 0-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Tataouine win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split US Tataouine 40%, draw 32%, EGS Gafsa 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (US Tataouine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Tataouine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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