Parma 1-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Feb 2026

Parma
1-1 HT 0-0
Cagliari
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.54
Over
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.0
No
49%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.33
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.75
6+
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.05
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
21%
4.82
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
11%
3.57
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.81
2/X
6%
13.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Parma v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 29%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.52/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.48
-11% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.9 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Parma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cagliari
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.50 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
397 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
09.02.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
30.09.2024 Parma Parma 2-3 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
03.06.2023 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
30.05.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 0-2 Parma Parma İTB
22.04.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB

Parma 1-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1-1
AWAY Cagliari
1.31 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
429 Passes 333
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Parma vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Parma and Cagliari finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 43% lean on Parma didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. At 1.54 (~65%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Parma's favour, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.31 to 0.55.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Parma against 1.83 for Cagliari.

Parma vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Parma 1-1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Parma 43%, draw 27%, Cagliari 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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