Cagliari vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTB
3-2
HT 0-2
Parma
İTB
2-1
HT 0-1
Cagliari
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Parma
İTB
Cagliari 2-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari saw off Parma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Cagliari had 51% of the ball to Parma's 49%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.13 to 1.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Parma.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cagliari and 1.33 for Parma.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Parma?
Cagliari 2-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Parma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 41%, draw 31%, Parma 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.