Juventus 4-3 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 Sep 2025

Juventus
4-3 HT 2-1
Inter
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Juventus vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
11%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.98
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
14%
5.79
X/X
10%
3.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
5%
32.5
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
9%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 5% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
0.91/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.14
-32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.0 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Juventus vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Inter
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 477
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
27.10.2024 Inter Inter 4-4 HT 3-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
04.02.2024 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
26.04.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTK
04.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK

Juventus 4-3 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
4-3
AWAY Inter
0.65 xG 0.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
296 Passes 452
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus squeezed past Inter 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Juventus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Juventus had 41% of the ball to Inter's 59%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.65 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juventus and 1.33 for Inter.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Inter?

Juventus 4-3 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventus 40%, draw 25%, Inter 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ BTTS Yes
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