Juventus 1-0 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.72
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
7.6
X/2
12%
4.82
X/X
14%
4.28
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.79
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 49%
+21% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +30%
0.78/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.06
-10% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
13.5 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Inter
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 501
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Inter Inter 4-4 HT 3-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
04.02.2024 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
26.04.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTK
04.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK
19.03.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
1-0
AWAY Inter
1.25 xG 1.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
274 Passes 402
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus edged past Inter 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventus had 42% of the ball to Inter's 58%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.25 to 1.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juventus and 1.33 for Inter.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Inter?

Juventus 1-0 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Juventus 27%, draw 30%, Inter 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
16 Feb 2025
14:30 Fiorentina vs Como Analysis →
17:00 Udinese vs Empoli Analysis →
17:00 Monza vs Lecce Analysis →
20:00 Parma vs Roma Analysis →