Monza 0-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2025

Monza
0-0 HT 0-0
Lecce
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Monza vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.65
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
14%
3.72
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Lecce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 38%
-32% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.40
-62% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.2 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Monza vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lecce
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.12
59% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
377 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Lecce Lecce 2-1 HT 2-1 Monza Monza İTA
27.04.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
17.09.2023 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
28.05.2023 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
11.09.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
27.02.2022 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTB

Monza 0-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-0
AWAY Lecce
0.23 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
410 Passes 305
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Lecce fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monza had 56% of the ball to Lecce's 44%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.23 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecce led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monza and 1.17 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Monza vs Lecce?

Monza 0-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monza 38%, draw 29%, Lecce 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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