Fiorentina 0-2 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2025

Fiorentina
0-2 HT 0-1
Como
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
13%
6.47
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
4.68
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 1/X at 12.45 — our 12% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.80
+24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.5 Crosses 23.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Fiorentina vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Como
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.81 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
312 Passes 433
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
27.03.2004 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTB
02.11.2003 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB

Fiorentina 0-2 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-2
AWAY Como
0.26 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
356 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como beat Fiorentina 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fiorentina had 50% of the ball to Como's 50%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.26 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fiorentina and 0.00 for Como.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Como?

Fiorentina 0-2 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 42%, draw 28%, Como 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5
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