Parma 0-1 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2025

Parma
0-1 HT 0-1
Roma
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Parma vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.34
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
11%
7.59
X/2
18%
5.03
X/X
10%
4.65
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.78
2/X
8%
11.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Roma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.46/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.03
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.7 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Parma vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Roma
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 2.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
316 Passes 479
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.12.2024 Roma Roma 5-0 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTA
14.03.2021 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
22.11.2020 Roma Roma 3-0 HT 3-0 Parma Parma İTA
08.07.2020 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
16.01.2020 Parma Parma 0-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTK
10.11.2019 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA

Parma 0-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
0-1
AWAY Roma
0.23 xG 1.12
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
203 Passes 658
73% Pass Accuracy 92%
11 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parma vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma nicked a narrow win over Parma 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parma had 28% of the ball to Roma's 72%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.23 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Parma and 2.00 for Roma.

What was the final score of Parma vs Roma?

Parma 0-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Parma 29%, draw 27%, Roma 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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