Udinese 3-0 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Feb 2025

Udinese
3-0 HT 1-0
Empoli
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Udinese vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
10%
8.2
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
6.73
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Udinese v Empoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.33
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.9 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Udinese vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Empoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
311 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2024 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
19.05.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.10.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
11.03.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
04.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 4-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA

Udinese 3-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
3-0
AWAY Empoli
2.27 xG 2.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
390 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese ran out comfortable winners over Empoli 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Udinese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Udinese had 57% of the ball to Empoli's 43%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.27 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Udinese and 0.67 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Empoli?

Udinese 3-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Udinese 39%, draw 30%, Empoli 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5
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