Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Napoli — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli got the better of Fiorentina 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 53% of the ball to Napoli's 47%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.69 to 3.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina and 2.00 for Napoli.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Fiorentina 1-3 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 27%, draw 31%, Napoli 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.