Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.07
Over
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.88
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
22%
2.98
6+
10%
9.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.9
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
19%
5.14
X/2
12%
6.97
X/X
10%
5.04
2/1
7%
23.1
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.43/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.03
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.0 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bochum
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.46 xG 1.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
220 Passes 473
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Bochum Bochum 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
27.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1P
23.05.2024 Bochum Bochum 0-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1P
21.07.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 Bochum Bochum HAZ
22.03.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 HT 0-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
30.11.2020 Bochum Bochum 5-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1
AWAY Bochum
1.50 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
370 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Bochum 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 55% of the ball to Bochum's 45%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2.00 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Bochum in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 44%, draw 23%, Bochum 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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