Bochum vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bochum v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Bochum vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
Bochum
HAZ
0-3
HT 0-2
Bochum
AL2
5-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
1-2
HT 0-0
Bochum
AL2
Bochum 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Bochum 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bochum had 65% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 35%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.31 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bochum and 1.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What was the final score of Bochum vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Bochum 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bochum vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bochum 43%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.