Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arda Kardzhali v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Arda Kardzhali shaded a tight game against Spartak Varna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Arda Kardzhali had 66% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 34%, shots finished 15-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 2.00 for Spartak Varna.
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna Result & Final Score
Arda Kardzhali 1 - 0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 67%, draw 22%, Spartak Varna 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.