Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Feb 2026

Rosenborg
1-0 HT 0-1
Valerenga
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Rosenborg vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over Pick
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.92
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
24%
2.87
6+
10%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.78/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.64
-46% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Rosenborg vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.04.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
21.02.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-4 HT 1-4 Valerenga Valerenga HAZ
29.10.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 1-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
09.10.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg edged past Valerenga 1-0. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rosenborg and 1.33 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga in the Friendlies on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 33%, draw 23%, Valerenga 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ More Friendlies
27 Feb 2026
16:00 Valerenga vs Rosenborg Analysis →