Valerenga 1-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.15
Over
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.92
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
2.87
6+
11%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.22/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.76
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
353 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.04.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
21.02.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-4 HT 1-4 Valerenga Valerenga HAZ
29.10.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 1-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
06.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
09.10.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga squeezed past Rosenborg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Valerenga made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valerenga and 1.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Rosenborg?

Valerenga 1-0 Rosenborg in the Friendlies on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 35%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ More Friendlies
27 Feb 2026
16:00 Rosenborg vs Valerenga Analysis →