Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.47/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+93% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
3W-1D-1L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
12.04.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
08.03.2025 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
11.10.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
06.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb edged past HNK Cibalia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 39% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 61%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 0.80 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia?

Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 28%, draw 21%, HNK Cibalia 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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