Deportivo Recoleta 2-2 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.33/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.20
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.09.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
22.04.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
09.02.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
2-2
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta and Nacional Asuncion shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 38% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 62%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 0.50 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?

Deportivo Recoleta 2-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 30%, draw 28%, Nacional Asuncion 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ BTTS Yes
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