Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.8
Over
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna The Market 33%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.71/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.04
-51% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
02.05.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
26.10.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
28.02.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
11.07.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
20.10.2019 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-4 HT 2-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Siedlce and Gornik Leczna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Pogon Siedlce at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 53%. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.80, about 56%.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Pogon Siedlce's favour, shots finished 15-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Pogon Siedlce against 1.67 for Gornik Leczna.

Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna Result & Final Score

Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Siedlce vs Gornik Leczna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 49%, draw 22%, Gornik Leczna 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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