Porto vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Porto v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Porto 3-1 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Porto got the better of Arouca 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 85%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (59%) came in, no to both teams scoring (61%) didn't.
On the day, Porto had 56% of the ball to Arouca's 44%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.34 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Porto and 0.67 for Arouca.
Porto vs Arouca Result & Final Score
Porto 3-1 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Porto vs Arouca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Porto 85%, draw 10%, Arouca 5%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.