Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.78/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/0.32
+37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
01.11.2025 Trefelin Trefelin 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
30.11.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-2 HT 2-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
06.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-3 HT 2-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
08.04.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin saw off Pontypridd Town AFC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.75 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 18%, draw 26%, Trefelin 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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