İtalya U20 3-3 İngiltere U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Mar 2026

İtalya U20
3-3 HT 0-2
İngiltere U20
📅27/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U20 v İngiltere U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U20
3W-0D-2L
AWAY İngiltere U20
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.24 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
333 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.09.2025 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 1-2 HT 0-0 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
10.10.2024 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 1-2 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 U20EL
16.11.2023 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 0-3 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 HAZ
01.06.2023 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 1-2 HT 1-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 DK20
08.06.2017 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 1-3 HT 1-0 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 DK20

İtalya U20 3-3 İngiltere U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U20
3-3
AWAY İngiltere U20
5.04 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
29 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
435 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U20 and İngiltere U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, İtalya U20 had 55% of the ball to İngiltere U20's 45%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 5.04 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, İtalya U20 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for İtalya U20 and 1.40 for İngiltere U20.

What was the final score of İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

İtalya U20 3-3 İngiltere U20 in the Friendlies on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İtalya U20 35%, draw 30%, İngiltere U20 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İngiltere U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İngiltere U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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