Jönköpings Södra 1-3 Rosengard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosengard EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-3
AWAY Rosengard
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Rosengard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosengard saw off Jönköpings Södra 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jönköpings Södra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 57% of the ball to Rosengard's 43%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Rosengard?

Jönköpings Södra 1-3 Rosengard in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Rosengard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jönköpings Södra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 47%, draw 20%, Rosengard 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Jönköpings Södra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jönköpings Södra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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