United Nordic 4-1 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.1pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United Nordic EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.65/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.07
+7% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United Nordic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stocksund
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.10.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 5-1 HT 3-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 2-3 HT 0-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United Nordic
4-1
AWAY Stocksund
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH United Nordic vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic cruised past Stocksund 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, United Nordic had 56% of the ball to Stocksund's 44%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, United Nordic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for United Nordic and 1.50 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of United Nordic vs Stocksund?

United Nordic 4-1 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United Nordic vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split United Nordic 54%, draw 24%, Stocksund 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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