Almeria II 2-1 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.75/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.46
+25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cadiz II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Cadiz II Cadiz II 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
2-1
AWAY Cadiz II
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II nicked a narrow win over Cadiz II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almeria II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria II had 53% of the ball to Cadiz II's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Cadiz II?

Almeria II 2-1 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 46%, draw 26%, Cadiz II 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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