Atlético Paso 3-2 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-11.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 52%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.81/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tenerife II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.01.2025 Tenerife II Tenerife II 3-2 HT 1-2 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
3-2
AWAY Tenerife II
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso edged past Tenerife II 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Atlético Paso made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 52% of the ball to Tenerife II's 48%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?

Atlético Paso 3-2 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 35%, draw 28%, Tenerife II 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Under 2.5
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