Colonia Moscardo 4-4 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.67
Over
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -13%
1.23/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
+10% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melilla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15.12.2024 Melilla Melilla 3-1 HT 1-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo and Melilla shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Melilla?

Colonia Moscardo 4-4 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 35%, draw 27%, Melilla 38%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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