Elche II 0-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.74
Over
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.43/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
+38% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Europa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Europa Europa 2-1 HT 2-1 Elche II Elche II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche II
0-1
AWAY Europa
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche II vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa nicked a narrow win over Elche II 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Europa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Elche II had 57% of the ball to Europa's 43%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Elche II vs Europa?

Elche II 0-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche II vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elche II 31%, draw 27%, Europa 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Europa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Under 2.5
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