Illescas vs Union Adarve Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Illescas v Union Adarve — Team-Based Signals
Illescas vs Union Adarve Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Union Adarve
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Illescas 2-1 Union Adarve — Actual Match Statistics
Illescas squeezed past Union Adarve 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Illescas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Illescas had 52% of the ball to Union Adarve's 48%, shots finished 10-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Illescas and 1.00 for Union Adarve.
What was the final score of Illescas vs Union Adarve?
Illescas 2-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Illescas vs Union Adarve?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Illescas 34%, draw 35%, Union Adarve 31%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.