Llanera 3-2 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.08
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanera
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 3-1 HT 1-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
17.04.2022 Llanera Llanera 0-2 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
28.11.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llanera
3-2
AWAY Marino De Luanco
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Llanera vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanera edged past Marino De Luanco 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llanera as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Llanera had 53% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 47%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Llanera and 2.00 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Llanera vs Marino De Luanco?

Llanera 3-2 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanera vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Llanera 44%, draw 27%, Marino De Luanco 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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