Marino De Luanco 3-1 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.44
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.04.2022 Llanera Llanera 0-2 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
28.11.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
3-1
AWAY Llanera
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco got the better of Llanera 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marino De Luanco as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 53% of the ball to Llanera's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.00 for Llanera.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Llanera?

Marino De Luanco 3-1 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 47%, draw 28%, Llanera 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marino De Luanco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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