Mostoles vs CD Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mostoles v CD Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Mostoles vs CD Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Mostoles 4-2 CD Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Mostoles beat CD Guadalajara 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Mostoles had 46% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 54%, shots finished 13-12.
What was the final score of Mostoles vs CD Guadalajara?
Mostoles 4-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mostoles vs CD Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 29%, draw 28%, CD Guadalajara 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara) went the other way.