UD San Fernando 0-1 Juventud Torremolinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
1.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.11
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 1-2 HT 1-1 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
0-1
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Juventud Torremolinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud Torremolinos squeezed past UD San Fernando 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Juventud Torremolinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 43% of the ball to Juventud Torremolinos's 57%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Juventud Torremolinos?

UD San Fernando 0-1 Juventud Torremolinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 39%, draw 28%, Juventud Torremolinos 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD San Fernando) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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