Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penya Encarnada v Esperança dAndorra — Team-Based Signals
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Penya Encarnada
AND
1-0
HT 1-0
Esperança dAndorra
AND
Penya Encarnada 4-1 Esperança dAndorra — Actual Match Statistics
Penya Encarnada cruised past Esperança dAndorra 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Penya Encarnada had 52% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 48%, shots finished 9-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.80 for Esperança dAndorra.
What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?
Penya Encarnada 4-1 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 56%, draw 25%, Esperança dAndorra 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.