Angers 0-2 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Apr 2025

Angers
0-2 HT 0-1
Lille
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.08
Away Pick
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.24
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.5
6+
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.55
1/2
7%
24.2
1/X
7%
20.2
X/1
6%
13.1
X/2
23%
3.85
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
25%
1.83
2/X
8%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lille win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 69%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
0.92/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.98
-50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 84%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
17.9 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lille
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
08.04.2023 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
13.11.2022 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
10.04.2022 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
06.11.2021 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
23.05.2021 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-2
AWAY Lille
0.69 xG 1.43
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
240 Passes 481
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Angers vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille beat Angers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Angers had 37% of the ball to Lille's 63%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.69 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Angers and 1.17 for Lille.

What was the final score of Angers vs Lille?

Angers 0-2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Angers 21%, draw 24%, Lille 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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