Montpellier 0-0 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.03
Over Pick
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.69
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.07
6+
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.18
1/2
6%
22.45
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
13%
8.39
X/2
15%
4.62
X/X
13%
5.31
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.46
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.32/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
-22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
20.6 Crosses 21.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
317 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Reims Reims 4-2 HT 2-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
21.04.2024 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
27.08.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 1-2 Reims Reims FR1
03.06.2023 Reims Reims 1-3 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
13.11.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
17.04.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
0-0
AWAY Reims
0.59 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier and Reims fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montpellier had 54% of the ball to Reims's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.59 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montpellier and 1.67 for Reims.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Reims?

Montpellier 0-0 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 32%, draw 25%, Reims 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025
16:00 Angers vs Lille Analysis →
18:15 Lens vs Auxerre Analysis →
18:15 Nantes vs Toulouse Analysis →
21:45 Marsilya vs Brest Analysis →