Nantes 0-0 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Apr 2025

Nantes
0-0 HT 0-0
Toulouse
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.68
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
21%
4.2
6+
10%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.27
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
12%
5.95
X/2
13%
5.5
X/X
11%
4.07
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
14%
3.78
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.06
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.3 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Nantes vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.28
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
290 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
11.02.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
13.08.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
14.05.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
29.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-5 HT 0-4 Toulouse Toulouse FRK
28.08.2022 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Nantes 0-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-0
AWAY Toulouse
1.05 xG 0.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
464 Passes 278
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes and Toulouse fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nantes had 59% of the ball to Toulouse's 41%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.05 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nantes and 1.50 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Toulouse?

Nantes 0-0 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nantes 34%, draw 29%, Toulouse 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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