Southampton U21 5-3 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
33%
4-5
26%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.5pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.06/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.18
+91% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leicester City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 3.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
368 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 1-2 HT 1-0 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2
29.01.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
5-3
AWAY Leicester City U21
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 9
390 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 beat Leicester City U21 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (44% / 17% / 39%) promised a tight game; Southampton U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 53% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 47%, shots finished 21-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southampton U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Southampton U21 and 1.00 for Leicester City U21.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Southampton U21 5-3 Leicester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 44%, draw 17%, Leicester City U21 39%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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