Leicester City U21 1-2 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.75
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
3.59
Over
52%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.32
No
51%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Leicester City U21 win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
24%
+24.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
76%
-24.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
72%
-22.7pp
51%
BTTS No
28%
+22.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Southampton U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3.08 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
400 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
1-2
AWAY Southampton U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
318 Passes 376
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 squeezed past Leicester City U21 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 45% of the ball to Southampton U21's 55%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Leicester City U21 1-2 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 54%, draw 19%, Southampton U21 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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