Stoke City U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.31
No
50%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
72%
-21.9pp
50%
BTTS No
28%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+111% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
1-1
AWAY Leeds United U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
246 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 and Leeds United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 46% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 54%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Stoke City U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 29%, draw 27%, Leeds United U21 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United U21) ✗ Over 2.5
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